Modeling immunity over time in Washington State

“Back-casting” of COVID infections, vaccinations, and waning immunity since the start of the pandemic. Stratified by age group and region.

Version

Model version 1.2.1

Model run November 5th, 2022

Modeling immunity over time in Oregon

“Back-casting” of COVID infections, vaccinations, and waning immunity since the start of the pandemic. Stratified by age group and region.

Version

Model version 1.2.1

Model run November 5th, 2022

King County COVID-19 Modeling Group

We are an academic group led by Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research center researchers. We are funded by the CTSE and the NIH.

Our work is dedicated to modeling the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, with a particular focus on matching and projecting local data from King County Washington, USA.

The model considers the epidemiology of COVID-19 including social distancing, vaccination, and emerging variants.


Modeling team

Chloe Bracis (Grenoble)

David Swan (Fred Hutch)

Mia Moore (Fred Hutch)

Daniel Reeves (Fred Hutch)

Eileen S. Burns (Indepedent)

Dobromir Dimitrov (Fred Hutch/UW)

Joshua T. Schiffer (Fred Hutch/UW)


This website was created by Eileen S. Burns


Version

Model version 2.0

medRxiv

COVID-19 Epidemiological model

We have developed a mechanistic mathematical model to describe the epidemiological dynamics of COVID-19 since March 2020.

Mathematical details are presented below.